A study in the US calculated the probability that a job will be taken over by AI or computers in general in the future. I've been thinking about this for quite some time and would like to create another series of posts from it.

I'm starting with cashiers in supermarkets and other retail stores. There are 3.1 million employees in this area in Germany today - about a third in full time. And as of now with some base investment Thais could be done with more precision and more convenience for the customer by computers. AI is not even needed.

Demo stores have been developed by Amazon and others already a decade or more ago. Several supermarkets have already added self-checkouts.

So I assume that some of the cashiers will shift into a service role but many jobs will not be needed anymore. My estimation: a decline of 50% within the next 10 years.